Articles

40 articles

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BRICS Claims It's Bigger Than America's Economy. One Measurement Says Yes. The One That Matters More Says No

China, Russia, India, and their partners are touting 40% of world GDP. That's real, in the ruler that flatters them most. Switch to the ruler that actually moves markets and the story flips.

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Vietnam Just Beat China at America's Own Trade-Deficit Game. The Data Shows Who's Really Behind It

Vietnam now runs the single largest trade surplus with the US of any country on Earth. Its own customs data shows exactly whose factories, and whose components, are actually driving it.

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Switzerland Has 0.6% Inflation. Venezuela Has 387%. Welcome to the Most Unequal Year in Prices on Record

'Global inflation' hides a world where some countries are basically at price stability and others are in freefall — and central banks are fighting back with completely different weapons.

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It's Not in Your Head: Americans Rank Rising Costs a Bigger Threat Than War, and the Polls Prove It

Cost-of-living fear has beaten the economy, health care, and even the Iran war as the public's top concern in four straight national polls. Here's the receipts.

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Trump Says the US 'Totally Controls' the Strait of Hormuz. Iran Is Still Getting Paid.

Six months into the blockade, Washington hasn't secured the strait the way it promised — and Iran's oil money hasn't stopped flowing. The shipping data tells the real story.

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De-Dollarization Has a Data Problem: The Numbers Don't Move Like the Headlines Do

The dollar's share of global reserves ticked up last quarter. Here is what twenty-five years of IMF data actually shows about the decline everyone keeps predicting.

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The Federal Workforce, One Year Later: Which Agencies Actually Shrank

Our flagship piece covered the topline federal workforce numbers. Here's the agency-by-agency picture, with honest dating on figures that have moved substantially since they were first reported.

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Louisiana and the Retaliation Risk: What Export Dependence Actually Means

Louisiana faces a fundamentally different kind of tariff exposure than most states in this dataset — not the cost of importing, but the risk of losing overseas customers entirely. Here's the real data on why that distinction matters.

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Michigan: Why One State Is Absorbing More Tariff Pain Than Almost Any Other

Michigan carries the heaviest per-household tariff burden of any state in the country, and it isn't close. Here's the real data on why, and what it actually means for the state's economy.

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Manufacturing's Winning, Everyone Else Is Losing: The Real Sectoral Trade-Off Behind the Tariffs

The tariffs are modeled to grow manufacturing output while shrinking construction, mining, and agriculture. Here's what that trade-off actually looks like, sector by sector, and why it matters more than any state-level map.

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Why 'Inflation Was Worse Under X' Is Usually a Lag Assumption Wearing a Fact's Clothes

Every election cycle, someone states a president's inflation average like it's an objective, uncontested number. It almost never is. Here's the analytical tool to spot the difference, using our own real data as the example.

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Trump's Two Terms, By the Numbers: What Changed Between 2017 and 2025

Same president, two different economic environments. Here's what the real inflation and tariff data actually shows about how his two terms compare, without picking a side on which was "better."

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How We Built an Open, Reproducible Economic-Impact Tool — And Why Every Number In It Is Checkable

Every chart in our tariff and inflation coverage comes from a real, documented pipeline you can run yourself. Here's what's actually inside it, including the parts we got wrong the first time.

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State Tariff Exposure and Inflation by Presidential Term: What the Real Data Actually Shows

Two real, sourced economic analyses — state-level tariff exposure and inflation since 2010 by presidential term, including a lag-sensitivity finding that cuts a 3-point partisan gap down to under half a point. No fabricated data, no verdict handed to you.

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Kentucky's $47.7 Billion Question: Why the Bluegrass State Tops the Tariff Exposure List

Kentucky carries the highest import exposure of any state we've verified data for — and it's one of the only tariff stories in the country that's earned genuine bipartisan alarm. Here's why.

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The 2021-2022 Inflation Spike, Explained With the Actual Data

The single biggest feature in a decade of CPI data is the climb toward 9% in 2022. Here's what the real chart shows about how it happened and how long it took to come back down.